Poland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
POL
8 - 0
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 4
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
POL
1 - 4
FRA
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
NED
3 - 1
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
NED
1 - 2
YUG
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
DEN
3 - 2
NED
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
NED
1 - 0
DDR
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |