Poland vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BEL
1 - 1
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
1 - 3
POL
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
2 - 1
POL
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
IRL
1 - 0
POL
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 93 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 4
YUG
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
FRA
3 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |