Poland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
POL
3 - 0
TUR
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CSK
4 - 0
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1991 |
NIR
3 - 1
POL
33%
29%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
BEL
1 - 1
WAL
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
WAL
0 - 3
IRL
48%
30%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WAL
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
WAL
3 - 1
BEL
39%
30%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |