Poland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1991 |
POL
0 - 0
WAL
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
POL
3 - 0
TUR
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CSK
4 - 0
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
FRA
5 - 0
ALB
92%
6%
1%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
FRA
3 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1990 |
ALB
0 - 1
FRA
7%
20%
73%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
FRA
2 - 1
CSK
57%
26%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ISL
1 - 2
FRA
20%
28%
52%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |