Poland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 2
ITA
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1982 |
POL
3 - 0
BEL
74%
15%
10%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
POL
5 - 1
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
CMR
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1982 |
BRD
3 - 3
FRA
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 1
NIR
75%
15%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1982 |
AUT
0 - 1
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 1
CSK
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 1
KWT
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |