Poland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
POL
1 - 5
HUN
28%
21%
51%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
POL
0 - 1
BGR
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
HUN
6 - 0
POL
88%
8%
5%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1950 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
63%
17%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 0
POR
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
SWE
43%
21%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 2
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |