Poland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
DNK
2 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
CRI
1 - 2
POL
23%
22%
56%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
DEU
1 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2006 |
POL
0 - 2
ECU
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
HRV
0 - 1
POL
49%
25%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 2
NIR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FIN
2 - 2
BLR
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 3
KAZ
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
JPN
2 - 0
FIN
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |