Poland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
SCO
1 - 2
POL
69%
17%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
31%
24%
44%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
87%
9%
5%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1965 |
FIN
4 - 0
NOR
38%
22%
40%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 1965 |
FIN
0 - 2
ITA
30%
24%
47%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1965 |
DEN
3 - 1
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |