Poland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1957 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
POL
0 - 1
TUR
42%
20%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 4
NOR
46%
21%
33%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 1
FIN
57%
20%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |