Poland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 1
POL
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
SRB
2 - 2
POL
18%
25%
58%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
UZB
0 - 0
EST
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
KSA
2 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
MNE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 97 | 31 | 0 |