Poland vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
CSK
2 - 2
POL
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1974 |
POL
2 - 0
CAN
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
POL
3 - 0
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
POL
0 - 2
FRA
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
POL
1 - 3
DDR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
MEX
3 - 1
USA
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
2 - 0
USA
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
3 - 1
USA
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |