Poland vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
POL
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
DEN
1 - 1
POL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
BMU
4 - 0
USA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
BRD
7 - 0
USA
84%
10%
7%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 0
USA
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 0
USA
67%
17%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
54%
20%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |