Poland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1980 |
BRD
3 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 1
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
ITA
2 - 2
POL
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
POL
42%
27%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 3
BEL
61%
24%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |