Poland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
31%
24%
44%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
SWE
3 - 3
POL
83%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |