Poland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 1
POL
13%
23%
64%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
POL
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
62%
22%
16%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
CZE
48%
26%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SVN
1 - 2
DEN
19%
26%
56%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |