Poland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1970 |
POL
2 - 0
IRQ
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 2
POL
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1970 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1970 |
POL
2 - 1
IRL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
HUN
2 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1970 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
27%
21%
52%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
37%
22%
40%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 2
POL
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
HUN
3 - 0
DEN
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |