Poland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
POL
3 - 1
DDR
84%
9%
7%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
POL
0 - 2
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1961 |
POL
1 - 1
YUG
28%
22%
50%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 1
POL
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
DEN
9 - 1
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
GER
5 - 1
DEN
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEN
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
34%
22%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |