Poland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 1
POL
25%
22%
53%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GER
2 - 0
POL
81%
12%
7%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
DEN
39%
27%
34%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 1
POL
13%
23%
64%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
POL
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 1
GER
20%
21%
59%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
AUT
0 - 1
CRO
17%
20%
63%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
HUN
1 - 1
CRO
22%
26%
52%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 0
MDA
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 1
CRO
32%
27%
40%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |