Poland vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.6%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.9%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
POL
4 - 1
NOR
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
POL
3 - 1
FIN
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
NED
0 - 0
POL
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
IRL
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
POL
2 - 1
GRC
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
JOR
2 - 1
CYP
55%
21%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
CYP
0 - 1
HUN
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1987 |
GRC
3 - 1
CYP
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
0 - 2
NED
2%
19%
79%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
2 - 4
GRC
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |