Poland vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
4.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.4%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.2%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.6%
2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
POR
0 - 2
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
3 - 1
POL
60%
20%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
POL
2 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
POL
5 - 0
PRK
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1976 |
POL
3 - 2
IRN
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
DEN
5 - 0
CYP
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 5
DEN
32%
22%
45%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
POR
1 - 0
CYP
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
CYP
0 - 3
CSK
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
CYP
0 - 2
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |