Poland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
LUX
0 - 0
POL
37%
21%
42%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
ISR
0 - 0
POL
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1966 |
ROU
4 - 3
POL
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
FRA
2 - 1
POL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
POL
4 - 0
LUX
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
LUX
0 - 5
BEL
32%
20%
48%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 0
SUI
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 3
IRL
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |