Poland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
POL
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POL
5 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
AUT
0 - 1
FRA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUI
1 - 1
AUT
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
AUT
2 - 1
SRB
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
6 - 1
TUR
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SVK
0 - 2
AUT
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |