Poland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
41%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
POL
5 - 4
GBR
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
POL
3 - 0
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BEL
0 - 2
POL
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
ROU
4 - 1
POL
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
36%
21%
43%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 1
EGY
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1936 |
AUT
2 - 1
ENG
57%
19%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 5
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |