Poland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
42.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
3 - 3
LVA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
POL
2 - 3
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
AUT
4 - 4
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 3
AUT
46%
21%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
CSK
0 - 0
AUT
51%
20%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
AUT
0 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |