Poland vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 1
POL
11%
19%
71%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
SVK
1 - 3
POL
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POL
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
ARM
2 - 1
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
UKR
2 - 0
ARM
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ARM
0 - 0
ISL
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
ARM
3 - 1
AND
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
ARM
1 - 0
LBN
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |