Poland vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
NED
3 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1975 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
POL
4 - 1
NED
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 4
POL
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARG
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1976 |
ARG
1 - 2
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
PAR
2 - 3
ARG
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
31%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
11 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |