Poland vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
NED
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
62%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 2
KSA
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 1
CRO
15%
22%
64%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
KSA
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ISL
0 - 1
KSA
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 0
HND
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |