Poland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
YUG
9 - 3
POL
47%
20%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
LVA
3 - 3
POL
42%
22%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
POL
5 - 4
GBR
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1936 |
POR
1 - 3
GER
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |