Poland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
3 - 3
LVA
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
POL
2 - 3
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LVA
2 - 6
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
GER
5 - 0
EST
85%
10%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
GER
64%
17%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |