Poland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1934 |
YUG
4 - 1
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
BRD
1 - 0
POL
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1934 |
GER
3 - 2
AUT
40%
21%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1934 |
CSK
3 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
GER
2 - 1
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
GER
5 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |