Poland vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
POL
2 - 1
YUG
60%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 1
POL
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
POL
2 - 1
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 7
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
POL
3 - 2
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
4 - 2
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
YUG
0 - 2
BRD
54%
22%
24%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BRD
50%
23%
27%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 3
BRD
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
1 - 0
CHI
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |