Poland vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
POL
3 - 1
GRC
83%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
FIN
0 - 2
POL
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 1
POL
22%
27%
52%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
BEL
3 - 1
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
BRD
2 - 1
ALB
97%
3%
1%
|
64 | 94 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 2
AUT
13%
26%
61%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 1
TUR
46%
24%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NIR
1 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |