Poland vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
25.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
78%
12%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
POL
1 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ROU
1 - 1
ALB
57%
19%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
YUG
0 - 0
ALB
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
ALB
0 - 0
HUN
30%
21%
49%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ROU
0 - 1
ALB
62%
18%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 4
YUG
49%
20%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |