Poland vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1976 |
POL
0 - 2
IRL
79%
14%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
SUI
2 - 1
POL
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1976 |
GRC
1 - 0
POL
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 0
POL
40%
26%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
POL
1 - 2
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CUB
4 - 0
CAN
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
ALG
0 - 1
CUB
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1971 |
CUB
0 - 0
JAM
53%
20%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1971 |
JAM
0 - 1
CUB
62%
18%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1971 |
CHN
1 - 0
CUB
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |