Poland vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
1.9%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
POL
1 - 3
BLR
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
WLS
2 - 3
POL
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
1 - 3
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
POL
1 - 2
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
TTO
2 - 0
AZE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
TTO
1 - 0
AZE
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
BGR
13%
23%
63%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
ENG
5%
17%
78%
|
65 | 98 | 33 | 0 |