Poland vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
ISR
2 - 1
POL
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
POL
1 - 1
BLR
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1994 |
POL
3 - 4
AUT
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1994 |
POL
3 - 2
HUN
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1994 |
POL
1 - 0
KSA
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
ROU
3 - 0
AZE
90%
8%
2%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1994 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
AZE
0 - 0
TUR
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
AZE
1 - 2
TUR
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1994 |
MLT
5 - 0
AZE
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |