Polonia B vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 0
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ROU
3 - 2
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CSK
3 - 2
ROU
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 2
ROU
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |