Peru vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
17%
21%
63%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |