Peru vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
70%
20%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
29%
31%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
PAR
5 - 0
VEN
71%
20%
10%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CHI
5 - 0
VEN
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
96%
3%
1%
|
60 | 95 | 35 | 0 |