Peru vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 0
MEX
35%
24%
41%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
URU
3 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |