Copa America Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Peru vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1983 |
PAR
4 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PER
2 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1983 |
ISR
2 - 2
URU
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 0
URU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
55%
26%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |