Peru vs Uruguay analysis

Peru Uruguay
78 ELO 83
-6.5% Tilt -8.8%
116º General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.4%
Peru
27.2%
Draw
25.4%
Uruguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
Peru
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.4%
Win probability
Uruguay
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peru
-7%
+4%
Uruguay

ELO progression

Peru
Uruguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peru
Peru
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 1981
URU
Uruguay
1 - 2
Peru
PER
61%
24%
15%
78 83 5 0
16 Aug. 1981
PER
Peru
2 - 0
Colombia
COL
65%
19%
16%
77 69 8 +1
05 Aug. 1981
PER
Peru
1 - 2
Chile
CHI
51%
24%
26%
78 80 2 -1
26 Jul. 1981
COL
Colombia
1 - 1
Peru
PER
36%
25%
39%
78 69 9 0
19 Apr. 1981
CHI
Chile
3 - 0
Peru
PER
55%
23%
23%
78 79 1 0

Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 1981
URU
Uruguay
1 - 2
Peru
PER
61%
24%
15%
83 78 5 0
09 Aug. 1981
URU
Uruguay
3 - 2
Colombia
COL
68%
19%
13%
83 69 14 0
15 Jul. 1981
URU
Uruguay
0 - 0
Chile
CHI
57%
25%
18%
83 80 3 0
29 Apr. 1981
CHI
Chile
1 - 2
Uruguay
URU
49%
27%
24%
83 79 4 0
10 Jan. 1981
URU
Uruguay
2 - 1
Brazil
BRA
17%
26%
57%
83 94 11 0
X