Peru vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
HTI
2 - 2
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
HTI
1 - 2
PER
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1977 |
MEX
2 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1977 |
MEX
1 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
PER
2 - 0
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 3
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
DEN
1 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
HUN
2 - 1
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |