Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
COL
4 - 0
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
75%
19%
7%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
61%
25%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
36%
32%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
ARG
18%
27%
55%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
49%
29%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
61%
25%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
26%
29%
46%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
COL
0 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |