Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
HND
2 - 1
PAR
47%
20%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
58%
20%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
PAN
6 - 2
PAR
51%
19%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
CRC
4 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |