Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1946 |
HND
10 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAR
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1946 |
GTM
7 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 1946 |
SLV
7 - 2
PAR
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |