Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
PER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
1 - 9
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |