Peru vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PER
3 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 5
NZL
11%
19%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
7 - 1
NCL
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
4 - 0
FIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |