Peru vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1993 |
CHI
0 - 1
PER
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 96 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1993 |
PER
3 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
PER
1 - 0
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
MEX
43%
29%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
MEX
2 - 0
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |