Peru vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 2
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1970 |
PER
3 - 0
SLV
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 3
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
2 - 1
MAR
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1969 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
50%
21%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALG
59%
20%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1967 |
BRD
5 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |